18573 - Strategy on the chessboard of the marine plots
N. Lygeros
Translated from the Greek by Athena Kehagias
The new data presented regarding the Cypriot EEZ indicates that, even though the 13 marine plots are formally independent in regards to the licensing rounds, there are strong relationships which transform them to a topostrategic chessboard.
Already, in the second licensing round re the 12 marine plots, we saw that plots 2, 3 and 9 functioned as a trinity and 10 and 11 as a pair.
Since there were no nominations regarding plots 1, 4 and 13, we see the quartet of 5, 6, 7, 8.
With the contracts which were signed and the developments regarding the seismics, the analyses and the drilling in Onasagoras, and while we are waiting for the results of the drilling in Amathusa, we realize that, there are invisible movements on this chessboard, where the players try, depending on the knowledge acquired, to pass on from some marine plots to others, through the second licensing round, and the potential third round, which offers the potentiality for a balance to be found, not only of the Nash type, and also Pareto one.
Therefore, the visible movements do not entirely determine the actions and we must include the invisible ones in order to understand the strategic behaviour of the players, so that their statements should not seem strange, while they are just weird due to the strategic mix.
In any case, it is now predicated that the Cypriot EEZ constitutes of a catalytic element for Cyprus, since without it, there would not even be a chessboard.
Simply, we now get seriously and deeply in the game theory and are not just merely examining independent contracts.