6452 - From the lifting of Casus belli to the topostrategy of the E.E.Z.

N. Lygeros
Translation: Paola Vagioni

Since the lifting of the Casus belli is no longer a theoretical utopia, it is necessary also to examine the perspectives of this change of phase even if, in order to become existent, we should wait for the final decision of the Turkish National Assembly. In any case preparation is justifiable in strategy. The lifting of the casus belli allows the implementation, via the validation of the Montego Bay Treaty, of the 12 nautical miles. Moreover, the issue of the E.E.Z. practically opens, which meets our needs in the Aegean space. When we talk about the 12NM and then the 200NM, i.e. when we pass from the territorial waters to the E.E.Z., we are under the impression that we cannot but gain space. This is valid only in the phase where there are at least 3 players, to use game theory terminology, since decision theory is not sufficient for this issue because the profit for the two countries is derived from the space they lose in the national waters. We have therefore, for the two players, a game without zero sum when we are found in a free framework. Yet the study of the E.E.Z. topostrategy demonstrates that its exclusive implementation conflicts in local points. To be more specific, let us examine the area of Castelorizo. Its cluster, in relation to Rhodes, functions as a linear system which is based exclusively on the simplification of the facts of the Paris Treaty of 1947. If we implement the E.E.Z. without paying attention to the data that are valid since then, we will have an overlapping of the area by the theoretical Turkish E.E.Z. In reality, also from the other side, i.e. between Castelorizo and Cyprus, the equivalent phenomenon occurs, only it appears beyond the borders even if the F.I.R. is involved. What is the meaning of this example? The pursuit of the implementation of the E.E.Z. will create a negotiation and the latter will have to be based on rational rules that topostrategy ensures via the Voronoi diagrams and the Delaunay triangulation. Otherwise, inevitably we will confront local exclusions which will be costly. It is therefore important to decide an overall strategy, in order to solve the problem of the E.E.Z. and to avoid in this way interstate frictions which will have no meaning on an international level. Moreover, our strategy must be integrated in a European framework, in order to be strengthened by our partners so that it can be resilient and therefore effective. Now is the time to study with precision the whole issue in order to know from the beginning the proper movement from both sides.